Rashee Rice and Marcus Mariota headline key prop bets as the Chiefs host the Commanders on Monday Night Football, with Rice’s red-zone threat and Mariota’s mobility making them standout value plays against a shaky Washington offense.
When you place an NFL prop bet, a type of sports wager focused on individual player performance rather than the final score. Also known as player props, these bets let you guess if a quarterback will throw more than 250 yards, if a running back will score a touchdown, or if a wide receiver will catch at least five passes—no matter who wins the game. Unlike traditional bets, prop bets turn the spotlight on the people playing, not just the scoreboard.
NFL prop bets rely on stats you can actually track: yards per carry, receptions per game, sacks allowed, even how often a kicker makes field goals from beyond 50 yards. These aren’t guesses—they’re patterns. For example, if a receiver has caught at least seven passes in six straight games against a certain defense, that’s not luck. That’s data. And that’s what smart bettors use. Teams like the Kansas City Chiefs or Buffalo Bills often create high-volume passing games, making their receivers prime targets for over/under catches bets. Meanwhile, a defensive end with 12 sacks in his last 10 games might be a solid pick for over total sacks in the next matchup. You don’t need to know who’ll win the Super Bowl to win on props—you just need to know who’s likely to make a play.
These bets are everywhere during the NFL season, especially around big games like Monday Night Football or playoff matchups. You’ll find them tied to everything: rushing yards, interceptions, touchdowns, even how many times a player celebrates on the sideline. Some props are silly—like whether a coach will challenge a call—but the good ones are grounded in real performance trends. The key is to look beyond the headlines. A star running back might be listed at 90.5 rushing yards, but if his offensive line has given up the most tackles for loss in the league the last three weeks, that number might be too high. Or if a rookie QB has thrown three picks in his last two road games, under his passing TD total could be a smart play. It’s not about luck. It’s about connecting the dots between players, matchups, and habits.
What you’ll find below are real examples from recent games where these bets made all the difference. From star athletes hitting their numbers to underdogs surprising everyone, these stories show how NFL prop bets turn every snap into a chance to win.
Rashee Rice and Marcus Mariota headline key prop bets as the Chiefs host the Commanders on Monday Night Football, with Rice’s red-zone threat and Mariota’s mobility making them standout value plays against a shaky Washington offense.